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NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

35-32-2  |  Road

6
FINAL
Tue, Mar 24 • 8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

43-16-11  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Jake Allen
GOALTENDER

Jake Allen

#34 | Goaltender
@
Casey DeSmith
GOALTENDER

Casey DeSmith

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Allen None-None 4.00 0.852 --
Casey DeSmith None-None 1.59 0.938 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.00 GAA Ldr 1.59
0.852 Save % Ldr 0.938
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
📊
STARS
0%
DEVILS --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
DevilsNJ (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Devils Cover

30.9%

Stars Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

NJ By 1 goal

12.1%

NJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

DAL By 1 goal

19.7%

DAL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
NEW JERSEY
3
DALLAS
Simulated Score
2
NEW JERSEY
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Stars (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 24, 2026 NJ @ DAL 6 - 4
Dec 3, 2025 DAL @ NJ 3 - 0
Mar 4, 2025 NJ @ DAL 3 - 4
Feb 22, 2025 DAL @ NJ 4 - 2
Mar 14, 2024 NJ @ DAL 6 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +74.5% more
Dallas: 16.1 vs New Jersey: 9.2
Hits (L5) +43.9% more
Dallas: 23.8 vs New Jersey: 16.6
Faceoff % (L5) +1.6%
Dallas: 49.3% vs New Jersey: 47.7%
Takeaways (L5) +13.3% more
New Jersey: 5.1 vs Dallas: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NJ Score 2.0 6
DAL Score 3.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
77%MONEY23%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
NJ
DAL
NJ
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 4-0
0% 0-2-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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