Home / NHL Projections NHL / Golden Knights @ Jets VGK @ WPG

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

32-25-14  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, Mar 24 • 8:00 PM ET
Canada Life Centre
View Odds Details →

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

29-29-12  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Adin Hill
GOALTENDER

Adin Hill

#33 | Goaltender
@
Connor Hellebuyck
GOALTENDER

Connor Hellebuyck

#37 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Adin Hill None-None 3.16 0.850 --
Connor Hellebuyck None-None 1.00 0.963 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.16 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.850 Save % Ldr 0.963
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
📊
JETS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Winnipeg)
Golden KnightsVGK (-3.5) 0 JetsWPG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Knights Cover

30.9%

Jets Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

VGK By 1 goal

12.1%

VGK By 2-3 goals

9.3%

WPG By 1 goal

19.7%

WPG By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
VEGAS
2
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
2
VEGAS
3
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jets (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Jets (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 13, 2026 WPG @ VGK 2 - 6
Mar 24, 2026 VGK @ WPG 1 - 4
Jan 6, 2026 VGK @ WPG 4 - 3
Apr 3, 2025 WPG @ VGK 4 - 0
Dec 12, 2024 VGK @ WPG 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +15.1% more
Winnipeg: 3.7 vs Vegas: 3.2
Faceoff % (L5) +11.7%
Winnipeg: 65.1% vs Vegas: 53.3%
Shots on Goal (L5) +38.3% more
Vegas: 26.9 vs Winnipeg: 16.6
Hits (L5) +22.9% more
Vegas: 22.2 vs Winnipeg: 17.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VGK Score 1.0 1
WPG Score 2.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
52%MONEY48%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
VGK
WPG
VGK
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
yahoo 3 days, 18 hours ago
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets
mlive 4 days ago
Peterka's Overtime Heroics Lift Bruins Over Jets in Season Opener
boston 5 days, 19 hours ago
Aidan O'Connell's Trade Value Soars in Wake of JJ McCarthy Deal
headtopics 1 week, 1 day ago
Eleven Ex-Bulldogs Set to Begin 2026-27 NHL Season
duluthnewstribune 1 week, 2 days ago