WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
35-27-9 | Road
0
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
28-30-11 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 2.06 | 0.923 | -- |
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.06
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.923
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
100%
BLUES
0%
CAPITALS
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
WSH By 1 goal
12.1%
WSH By 2-3 goals
9.3%
STL By 1 goal
19.7%
STL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
1
WASHINGTON
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blues
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blues (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
WSH @ STL
0 - 3
Nov 5, 2025
STL @ WSH
1 - 6
Feb 27, 2025
STL @ WSH
5 - 2
Nov 9, 2024
WSH @ STL
8 - 1
Jan 20, 2024
WSH @ STL
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+40.4% more
St. Louis: 5.5
vs
Washington: 3.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+62.4% more
Washington: 16.7
vs
St. Louis: 6.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+15.4%
Washington: 50.1%
vs
St. Louis: 34.7%
Power Play % (L5)
+12.5%
Washington: 13.9%
vs
St. Louis: 1.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
1.0
0
STL Score
2.0
3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
WSH
STL
WSH
ML
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
1-1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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