WICHITA STATE
SHOCKERSWICH
24-11 | Road
79
TULSA
GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA
28-7 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCKERS
100%
GOLDEN HURRICANE
0%
SHOCKERS
--
GOLDEN HURRICANE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TULSA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Tulsa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TLSA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TLSA)
WICH By 1-7 points
24.3%
WICH By 8-14 points
13.7%
TLSA By 1-7 points
26.2%
TLSA By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Wichita State
79
WICHITA STATE
Tulsa
80
TULSA
Simulated Score
Wichita State
68
WICHITA STATE
Tulsa
75
TULSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Hurricane
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Hurricane
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Hurricane (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Golden Hurricane (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
WICH @ TLSA
79 - 83
Mar 14, 2026
TLSA @ WICH
68 - 81
Feb 14, 2026
TLSA @ WICH
77 - 81
Feb 1, 2026
WICH @ TLSA
83 - 93
Mar 9, 2025
TLSA @ WICH
73 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+31.7% more
Tulsa: 14.9
vs
Wichita State: 11.3
Turnovers (L5)
+21.3% more
Tulsa: 12.9
vs
Wichita State: 10.6
Steals (L5)
+8.7% more
Tulsa: 6.6
vs
Wichita State: 6.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.5%
Tulsa: 70.0%
vs
Wichita State: 66.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WICH Score
79.0
79
TLSA Score
80.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 38.4
41.0 / 11.0
Assists
14.9 / 11.3
12.0 / 7.0
Blocks
1.9 / 3.2
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 44.6
38.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 66.5
88.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
44.2 / 46.0
39.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.6 / 6.1
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 10.6
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WICH
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
TLSA
Advantage
30-8-0
(79.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
TLSA
20-15-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TLSA
WICH
TLSA
WICH
ML
66%
25-13
61%
22-14
64%
23-13
68%
23-11
ATS
74%
28-10
64%
23-13
64%
23-13
68%
23-11
TTL
58%
22-16
69%
25-11
100%
36-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…
Shockers and Wildcats to Clash in Historic Regular-Season Showdo…
Shockers Set for Historic Clash with Kentucky at Rupp Arena in 2…
Former NFA Star R.J. Evans Returns Home as New AIC Men's Basketb…
Wichita State Locks In Paul Mills Through 2031: Inside the Contr…