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COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

46-13-10  |  Road

6
FINAL
Tue, Mar 24 • 7:00 PM ET
PPG Paints Arena
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PENGUINSPIT

35-19-16  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Scott Wedgewood
GOALTENDER

Scott Wedgewood

#41 | Goaltender
@
Arturs Silovs
GOALTENDER

Arturs Silovs

#37 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Scott Wedgewood None-None 2.00 0.938 --
Arturs Silovs None-None 5.01 0.828 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 5.01
0.938 Ldr Save % 0.828
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
📊
PENGUINS
0%
AVALANCHE --
PENGUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Pittsburgh)
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 PenguinsPIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

2.3%

Penguins Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)

COL By 1 goal

0.9%

COL By 2-3 goals

0.3%

PIT By 1 goal

6.6%

PIT By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
COLORADO
5
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
2
COLORADO
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Penguins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Penguins Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Penguins (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Penguins (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 24, 2026 COL @ PIT 6 - 2
Mar 4, 2025 PIT @ COL 1 - 4
Dec 10, 2024 COL @ PIT 6 - 2
Mar 24, 2024 PIT @ COL 4 - 5
Oct 26, 2023 COL @ PIT 0 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +35.7% more
Pittsburgh: 25.1 vs Colorado: 18.5
Blocked Shots (L5) +13.3% more
Pittsburgh: 11.1 vs Colorado: 9.8
Power Play % (L5) +2.0%
Pittsburgh: 2.5% vs Colorado: 0.6%
Takeaways (L5) +27.8% more
Colorado: 5.5 vs Pittsburgh: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 1.0 6
PIT Score 5.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
83%MONEY17%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
COL
PIT
COL
ML
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
ATS
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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