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CHICAGO

BLACKHAWKSCHI

26-31-13  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Mar 24 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

40-26-5  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Arvid Soderblom
GOALTENDER

Arvid Soderblom

#40 | Goaltender
@
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Arvid Soderblom None-None 3.00 0.936 --
Ilya Sorokin None-None 1.59 0.917 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 GAA Ldr 1.59
0.936 Ldr Save % 0.917
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
100%
📊
ISLANDERS
0%
BLACKHAWKS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (New York)
BlackhawksCHI (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blackhawks Cover

6.7%

Islanders Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)

CHI By 1 goal

2.8%

CHI By 2-3 goals

1.2%

NYI By 1 goal

12.1%

NYI By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
CHICAGO
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
CHICAGO
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Islanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Islanders (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 24, 2026 CHI @ NYI 4 - 3
Dec 30, 2025 NYI @ CHI 3 - 2
Dec 15, 2024 NYI @ CHI 3 - 5
Dec 12, 2024 CHI @ NYI 4 - 5
Apr 2, 2024 CHI @ NYI 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +46.1% more
New York: 23.8 vs Chicago: 16.3
Faceoff % (L5) +14.7%
New York: 57.9% vs Chicago: 43.2%
Takeaways (L5) +18.3% more
Chicago: 5.7 vs New York: 4.7
Power Play % (L5) +2.2%
Chicago: 5.8% vs New York: 3.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 1.0 4
NYI Score 4.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
77%MONEY23%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
CHI
NYI
CHI
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
100% 2-0-1
33% 1-2-1
100% 2-0-1
67% 2-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 13 hours ago
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
nbcsports 1 day, 6 hours ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 13 hours ago