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OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

37-24-9  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Mar 24 • 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

38-24-8  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Linus Ullmark
GOALTENDER

Linus Ullmark

#35 | Goaltender
@
John Gibson
GOALTENDER

John Gibson

#36 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Linus Ullmark None-None 2.00 0.943 --
John Gibson None-None 3.09 0.857 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 3.09
0.943 Ldr Save % 0.857
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
📊
RED WINGS
100%
SENATORS --
RED WINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Ottawa)
SenatorsOTT (-3.5) 0 Red WingsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Senators Cover

97.7%

Red Wings Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)

OTT By 1 goal

6.6%

OTT By 2-3 goals

29.6%

DET By 1 goal

0.9%

DET By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
OTTAWA
1
DETROIT
Simulated Score
3
OTTAWA
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Senators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Senators (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Red Wings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 OTT @ DET 3 - 5
Mar 24, 2026 OTT @ DET 3 - 2
Feb 26, 2026 DET @ OTT 2 - 1
Jan 18, 2026 OTT @ DET 3 - 4
Jan 5, 2026 DET @ OTT 5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +39.2%
Ottawa: 63.5% vs Detroit: 24.3%
Faceoff % (L5) +17.8%
Ottawa: 58.7% vs Detroit: 41.0%
Takeaways (L5) +10.3% more
Ottawa: 6.0 vs Detroit: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OTT Score 5.0 3
DET Score 1.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
56%MONEY44%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
OTT
DET
OTT
ML
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
TTL
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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