Home / NBA Projections NBA / Raptors @ Jazz TOR @ UTAH

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

39-31  |  Road

143
FINAL
Mon, Mar 23 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

21-50  |  Home

127
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
📊
JAZZ
100%
RAPTORS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RaptorsTOR (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raptors Cover

34.5%

Jazz Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

TOR By 1-7 points

27.4%

TOR By 8-14 points

21.6%

UTAH By 1-7 points

20.1%

UTAH By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
120
TORONTO
116
UTAH
Simulated Score
108
TORONTO
114
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Raptors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jazz Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jazz (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Jazz (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o231.0 Win
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Sim u231.0 Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 23, 2026 TOR @ UTAH 143 - 127
Feb 1, 2026 UTAH @ TOR 100 - 107
Mar 14, 2025 TOR @ UTAH 126 - 118
Mar 7, 2025 UTAH @ TOR 109 - 118
Jan 12, 2024 TOR @ UTAH 113 - 145
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +9.6% more
Toronto: 5.6 vs Utah: 5.1
Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Toronto: 50.7% vs Utah: 45.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.9%
Toronto: 34.8% vs Utah: 31.8%
Steals (L5) +16.7% more
Utah: 9.7 vs Toronto: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 120.0 143
UTAH Score 116.0 127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 34.8 36.0 / 54.0
Assists 28.7 / 28.7 25.0 / 49.0
Blocks 5.1 / 5.6 6.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 50.7 47.0 / 61.0
Free Throw % 79.9 / 75.1 84.0 / 54.0
Rebounding 42.4 / 38.0 39.0 / 35.0
Steals 9.7 / 8.3 9.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 14.6 / 15.2 18.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
50%MONEY50%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR Advantage
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR Advantage
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
TOR
UTAH
TOR
ML
60% 96-63
55% 57-47
48% 40-43
55% 48-39
ATS
68% 108-51
61% 62-40-2
48% 40-43
55% 48-39
TTL
75% 119-39-1
60% 62-42
100% 83-0
100% 87-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 0 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 5 minutes ago
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
headtopics 18 hours, 15 minutes ago
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …
cbssports 23 hours, 42 minutes ago
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
actionnews5 1 day ago