HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
43-27 | Road
124
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
28-42 | Home
132
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKETS
100%
BULLS
0%
ROCKETS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
244.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
HOU By 1-7 points
23.0%
HOU By 8-14 points
12.2%
CHI By 1-7 points
26.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
121
HOUSTON
Chicago
123
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Houston
109
HOUSTON
Chicago
115
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+9)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o233.0
Win
Proj Total: 244.0
D
Sim
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 23, 2026
HOU @ CHI
124 - 132
Jan 13, 2026
CHI @ HOU
113 - 119
Mar 15, 2025
CHI @ HOU
114 - 117
Nov 17, 2024
HOU @ CHI
143 - 107
Mar 21, 2024
CHI @ HOU
117 - 127
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.0% more
Chicago: 5.2
vs
Houston: 3.8
Steals (L5)
+20.4% more
Chicago: 9.6
vs
Houston: 8.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Houston: 38.6%
vs
Chicago: 33.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Houston: 49.7%
vs
Chicago: 47.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
121.0
124
CHI Score
123.0
132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 38.6
50.0 / 27.0
Assists
27.1 / 29.1
30.0 / 27.0
Blocks
5.2 / 3.8
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 49.7
50.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
74.3 / 75.9
82.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
45.0 / 45.4
45.0 / 41.0
Steals
9.6 / 8.0
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
16.6 / 15.9
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
HOU
CHI
HOU
ML
56%
54-42
61%
69-44
57%
46-35
59%
51-35
ATS
65%
62-33-1
62%
70-43
57%
46-35
59%
51-35
TTL
58%
56-40
51%
58-55
100%
81-0
100%
86-0
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