Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Trail Blazers BKN @ POR

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

17-54  |  Road

99
FINAL
Mon, Mar 23 • 10:00 PM ET
Moda Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

35-37  |  Home

134
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
NETS --
TRAIL BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Portland)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 Trail BlazersPOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

13.6%

Trail Blazers Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)

BKN By 1-7 points

9.3%

BKN By 8-14 points

2.7%

POR By 1-7 points

21.6%

POR By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
110
BROOKLYN
121
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
108
BROOKLYN
120
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trail Blazers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers (+16) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Trail Blazers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o218.0 Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim u218.0 Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 23, 2026 BKN @ POR 99 - 134
Mar 16, 2026 POR @ BKN 114 - 95
Feb 28, 2025 POR @ BKN 121 - 102
Jan 14, 2025 BKN @ POR 132 - 114
Jan 17, 2024 BKN @ POR 103 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +34.6% more
Portland: 47.8 vs Brooklyn: 35.5
Assists (L5) +15.4% more
Portland: 29.0 vs Brooklyn: 25.1
Steals (L5) +14.8% more
Brooklyn: 7.9 vs Portland: 6.7
Blocks (L5) +12.2% more
Brooklyn: 5.0 vs Portland: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 110.0 99
POR Score 121.0 134
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.1 / 36.5 47.0 / 28.0
Assists 29.0 / 25.1 28.0 / 22.0
Blocks 4.4 / 5.0 8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 43.9 55.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 78.7 / 82.9 70.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 47.8 / 35.5 45.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.7 / 7.9 10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 15.0 / 14.4 24.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
POR Advantage
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
POR Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
BKN
POR
BKN
ML
53% 56-49
53% 50-45
55% 49-40
59% 48-34
ATS
62% 65-39-1
52% 48-44-3
55% 49-40
59% 48-34
TTL
56% 58-46-1
57% 54-41
100% 89-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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