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OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

36-24-9  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Mar 23 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

28-33-9  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Artem Zub
GOALTENDER

Artem Zub

#2 | Defense
@
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Artem Zub None-None -- -- --
Igor Shesterkin None-None 2.06 0.939 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.06
-- Save % 0.939
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
SENATORS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Ottawa)
SenatorsOTT (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Senators Cover

84.1%

Rangers Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)

OTT By 1 goal

17.5%

OTT By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
OTTAWA
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
4
OTTAWA
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Senators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Senators Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Senators (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Senators (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 23, 2026 OTT @ NYR 2 - 1
Jan 14, 2026 OTT @ NYR 8 - 4
Dec 4, 2025 NYR @ OTT 4 - 2
Mar 8, 2025 NYR @ OTT 3 - 4
Jan 21, 2025 OTT @ NYR 0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +26.1% more
Ottawa: 6.4 vs New York: 4.8
Power Play % (L5) +15.0%
Ottawa: 63.5% vs New York: 48.5%
Shots on Goal (L5) +9.8% more
Ottawa: 24.3 vs New York: 21.9
Faceoff % (L5) +5.5%
Ottawa: 58.7% vs New York: 53.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OTT Score 3.0 2
NYR Score 1.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
75%MONEY25%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
OTT
NYR
OTT
ML
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
ATS
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
TTL
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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