WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
16-54 | Road
113
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
46-25 | Home
145
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
KNICKS
0%
WIZARDS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
WSH By 1-7 points
6.8%
WSH By 8-14 points
1.7%
NY By 1-7 points
18.6%
NY By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
107
WASHINGTON
New York
120
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Washington
107
WASHINGTON
New York
118
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+22)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u228.5
Loss
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u228.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
WSH @ NY
113 - 145
Feb 3, 2026
NY @ WSH
132 - 101
Nov 3, 2025
WSH @ NY
102 - 119
Oct 13, 2025
WSH @ NY
120 - 103
Mar 22, 2025
WSH @ NY
103 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+47.7% more
New York: 9.6
vs
Washington: 6.5
Rebounding (L5)
+37.6% more
New York: 49.3
vs
Washington: 35.9
Assists (L5)
+14.0% more
New York: 27.6
vs
Washington: 24.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.8%
New York: 79.3%
vs
Washington: 73.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
107.0
113
NY Score
120.0
145
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 39.6
53.0 / 38.0
Assists
27.6 / 24.2
32.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.2 / 5.2
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 46.2
59.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
79.3 / 73.6
95.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
49.3 / 35.9
48.0 / 28.0
Steals
9.6 / 6.5
6.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
15.8 / 16.7
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
WSH
NY
WSH
ML
61%
114-72
70%
112-49
56%
57-45
47%
39-44
ATS
67%
124-62
69%
111-49-1
56%
57-45
47%
39-44
TTL
72%
133-53
74%
119-41-1
100%
102-0
100%
83-0
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