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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

28-29-12  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Mar 22 • 12:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

28-33-8  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Dylan Samberg
GOALTENDER

Dylan Samberg

#54 | Defense
@
Dylan Garand
GOALTENDER

Dylan Garand

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dylan Samberg None-None -- -- --
Dylan Garand None-None 1.85 0.946 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.85
-- Save % 0.946
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
JETS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Winnipeg)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

84.1%

Rangers Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

WPG By 1 goal

17.5%

WPG By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
WINNIPEG
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
WINNIPEG
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jets (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 22, 2026 WPG @ NYR 3 - 2
Mar 12, 2026 NYR @ WPG 6 - 3
Mar 11, 2025 NYR @ WPG 1 - 2
Nov 12, 2024 WPG @ NYR 6 - 3
Mar 19, 2024 WPG @ NYR 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +18.7% more
Winnipeg: 14.9 vs New York: 12.1
Faceoff % (L5) +11.9%
Winnipeg: 65.1% vs New York: 53.2%
Power Play % (L5) +47.7%
New York: 48.5% vs Winnipeg: 0.9%
Hits (L5) +32.2% more
New York: 21.3 vs Winnipeg: 16.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 3.0 3
NYR Score 1.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
75%MONEY25%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
WPG
NYR
WPG
ML
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
ATS
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
100% 4-0
TTL
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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