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BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

44-20-6  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sun, Mar 22 • 8:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

38-27-4  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Alex Lyon
GOALTENDER

Alex Lyon

#34 | Goaltender
@
Ville Husso
GOALTENDER

Ville Husso

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Alex Lyon None-None 5.87 0.818 --
Ville Husso None-None 4.94 0.828 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.87 GAA Ldr 4.94
0.818 Save % Ldr 0.828
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
📊
DUCKS
0%
SABRES --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Anaheim)
SabresBUF (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sabres Cover

30.9%

Ducks Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

BUF By 1 goal

12.1%

BUF By 2-3 goals

9.3%

ANA By 1 goal

19.7%

ANA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BUFFALO
4
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
2
BUFFALO
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ducks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ducks Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ducks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Ducks (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 22, 2026 BUF @ ANA 5 - 6
Jan 10, 2026 ANA @ BUF 3 - 5
Feb 25, 2025 ANA @ BUF 2 - 3
Nov 22, 2024 BUF @ ANA 3 - 2
Feb 19, 2024 ANA @ BUF 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +23.4% more
Anaheim: 15.0 vs Buffalo: 12.2
Hits (L5) +12.6% more
Anaheim: 19.5 vs Buffalo: 17.4
Takeaways (L5) +29.0% more
Buffalo: 5.7 vs Anaheim: 4.0
Power Play % (L5) +25.6%
Buffalo: 26.3% vs Anaheim: 0.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUF Score 3.0 5
ANA Score 4.0 6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
79%MONEY21%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
BUF
ANA
BUF
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
TTL
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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