WICHITA STATE
SHOCKERSWICH
23-11 | Road
96
OKLAHOMA STATE
COWBOYSOKST
20-14 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCKERS
100%
COWBOYS
0%
SHOCKERS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
OKLAHOMA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Oklahoma State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKST -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKST)
WICH By 1-7 points
6.8%
WICH By 8-14 points
1.7%
OKST By 1-7 points
18.6%
OKST By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Wichita State
67
WICHITA STATE
Oklahoma State
80
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
Wichita State
69
WICHITA STATE
Oklahoma State
73
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
WICH @ OKST
96 - 70
Mar 18, 2025
WICH @ OKST
79 - 89
Dec 17, 2022
OKST @ WICH
59 - 49
Dec 1, 2021
WICH @ OKST
60 - 51
Dec 12, 2020
OKST @ WICH
67 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+20.3% more
Oklahoma State: 13.3
vs
Wichita State: 11.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.3%
Oklahoma State: 80.5%
vs
Wichita State: 68.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Oklahoma State: 47.1%
vs
Wichita State: 42.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
Oklahoma State: 34.8%
vs
Wichita State: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WICH Score
67.0
96
OKST Score
80.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 30.6
30.0 / 54.0
Assists
13.3 / 11.0
9.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.0 / 3.8
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 42.3
42.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 68.2
56.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
38.7 / 46.0
38.0 / 46.0
Steals
5.4 / 5.6
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
8.8 / 12.4
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WICH
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
OKST
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
OKST
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
WICH
OKST
WICH
ML
60%
21-14
61%
22-14
66%
21-11
68%
23-11
ATS
57%
20-15
64%
23-13
66%
21-11
68%
23-11
TTL
57%
20-15
69%
25-11
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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