MIAMI
HURRICANESMIA
26-8 | Road
69
PURDUE
BOILERMAKERSPUR
28-8 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
BOILERMAKERS
0%
HURRICANES
--
BOILERMAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
PURDUE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Purdue)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PUR -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PUR)
MIA By 1-7 points
3.3%
MIA By 8-14 points
0.6%
PUR By 1-7 points
12.2%
PUR By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
64
MIAMI
Purdue
81
PURDUE
Simulated Score
Miami
73
MIAMI
Purdue
78
PURDUE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Boilermakers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Boilermakers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Boilermakers (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Boilermakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
MIA @ PUR
69 - 79
Dec 8, 2020
PUR @ MIA
54 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+50.4% more
Purdue: 22.0
vs
Miami: 14.6
Blocks (L5)
+26.6% more
Purdue: 4.2
vs
Miami: 3.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.7%
Purdue: 53.9%
vs
Miami: 45.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Purdue: 42.1%
vs
Miami: 38.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
64.0
69
PUR Score
81.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.1 / 38.4
57.0 / 26.0
Assists
22.0 / 14.6
17.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.3
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
53.9 / 45.1
53.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 71.5
95.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 35.8
25.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.7 / 7.2
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 9.2
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
PUR
Advantage
30-9-0
(76.9%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
Advantage
18-15-1
(54.6%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
PUR
17-22-0
(43.6%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4%
Total +/-: +0.4
PUR
21-18-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PUR
MIA
PUR
MIA
ML
67%
26-13
63%
22-13
66%
25-13
64%
21-12
ATS
64%
25-14
63%
22-13
66%
25-13
64%
21-12
TTL
51%
20-19
63%
22-13
100%
38-0
100%
33-0
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