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VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

31-24-14  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Mar 21 • 2:00 PM ET
Bridgestone Arena
View Odds Details →

NASHVILLE

PREDATORSNSH

31-28-9  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Shea Theodore
GOALTENDER

Shea Theodore

#27 | Defense
@
Justus Annunen
GOALTENDER

Justus Annunen

#29 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Shea Theodore None-None -- -- --
Justus Annunen None-None 1.00 0.975 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.00
-- Save % 0.975
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
📊
PREDATORS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
PREDATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Nashville)
Golden KnightsVGK (-3.5) 0 PredatorsNSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Knights Cover

2.3%

Predators Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NSH -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)

VGK By 1 goal

0.9%

VGK By 2-3 goals

0.3%

NSH By 1 goal

6.6%

NSH By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
VEGAS
5
NASHVILLE
Simulated Score
2
VEGAS
3
NASHVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Predators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Predators Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Predators (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Predators (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 21, 2026 VGK @ NSH 1 - 4
Jan 17, 2026 NSH @ VGK 2 - 7
Dec 31, 2025 NSH @ VGK 4 - 2
Apr 12, 2025 NSH @ VGK 3 - 5
Mar 29, 2025 VGK @ NSH 3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +26.7% more
Nashville: 4.9 vs Vegas: 3.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +36.9% more
Vegas: 14.5 vs Nashville: 9.1
Hits (L5) +25.3% more
Vegas: 23.9 vs Nashville: 17.9
Power Play % (L5) +20.4%
Vegas: 22.6% vs Nashville: 2.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VGK Score 1.0 1
NSH Score 5.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
44%MONEY56%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
VGK
NSH
VGK
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
TTL
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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