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NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

39-25-5  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Mar 21 • 7:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

37-21-10  |  Home

7
Goaltending
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
@
Jacob Fowler
GOALTENDER

Jacob Fowler

#32 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ilya Sorokin None-None 7.09 0.813 --
Jacob Fowler None-None 3.00 0.864 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
7.09 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.813 Save % Ldr 0.864
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
CANADIENS
0%
ISLANDERS --
CANADIENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

30.9%

Canadiens Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)

NYI By 1 goal

12.1%

NYI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
NEW YORK
4
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
2
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Canadiens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Canadiens (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Islanders (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 MTL @ NYI 4 - 1
Mar 21, 2026 NYI @ MTL 3 - 7
Feb 26, 2026 NYI @ MTL 4 - 3
Mar 20, 2025 MTL @ NYI 3 - 4
Dec 3, 2024 NYI @ MTL 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +59.4% more
Montreal: 19.6 vs New York: 12.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +32.8% more
Montreal: 29.7 vs New York: 22.4
Hits (L5) +27.5% more
Montreal: 23.7 vs New York: 18.6
Takeaways (L5) +15.9% more
New York: 5.3 vs Montreal: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 3.0 3
MTL Score 4.0 7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
86%MONEY14%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
NYI
MTL
NYI
ML
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
100% 2-0-1
67% 2-1
100% 2-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 7 hours ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 1 minute ago
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
yardbarker 7 hours, 12 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 13 hours, 1 minute ago
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
yardbarker 1 day, 1 hour ago