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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

34-31-3  |  Road

1
FINAL
Fri, Mar 20 • 9:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

27-34-7  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
@
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
Dustin Wolf None-None 1.00 0.960 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.00
-- Save % 0.960
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
PANTHERS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

30.9%

Flames Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

FLA By 1 goal

12.1%

FLA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

CGY By 1 goal

19.7%

CGY By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
FLORIDA
4
CALGARY
Simulated Score
2
FLORIDA
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 20, 2026 FLA @ CGY 1 - 4
Nov 28, 2025 CGY @ FLA 5 - 3
Mar 1, 2025 CGY @ FLA 0 - 3
Dec 14, 2024 FLA @ CGY 0 - 3
Mar 9, 2024 CGY @ FLA 1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +43.6% more
Calgary: 13.1 vs Florida: 9.1
Takeaways (L5) +41.6% more
Calgary: 5.2 vs Florida: 3.7
Faceoff % (L5) +2.2%
Calgary: 59.1% vs Florida: 56.9%
Hits (L5) +27.6% more
Florida: 24.5 vs Calgary: 17.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 3.0 1
CGY Score 4.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
65%MONEY35%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
FLA
CGY
FLA
ML
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
TTL
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
wsvn 1 hour, 43 minutes ago
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 1 hour, 45 minutes ago
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
yardbarker 1 day, 7 hours ago
Brad Marchand Forced Off Ice with Apparent Leg Injury in Panther…
theathleticuk 1 day, 19 hours ago
Brad Marchand Injured as Panthers' Injury Woes Deepen
miamiherald 1 day, 19 hours ago