Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Billikens @ Wolverines SLU @ MICH

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

29-5  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sat, Mar 21 • 12:10 PM ET
KeyBank Center
View Odds Details →

MICHIGAN

WOLVERINESMICH

32-3  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
BILLIKENS
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
BILLIKENS --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Michigan)
BillikensSLU (-3.5) 0 WolverinesMICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Billikens Cover

30.9%

Wolverines Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MICH -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)

SLU By 1-7 points

18.6%

SLU By 8-14 points

8.0%

MICH By 1-7 points

27.2%

MICH By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
65
SAINT LOUIS
70
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
68
SAINT LOUIS
78
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 21, 2026 SLU @ MICH 72 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.2% more
Michigan: 6.2 vs Saint Louis: 4.6
Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Michigan: 53.6% vs Saint Louis: 50.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Michigan: 37.9% vs Saint Louis: 34.4%
Steals (L5) +37.2% more
Saint Louis: 6.4 vs Michigan: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SLU Score 65.0 72
MICH Score 70.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.9 / 34.4 48.0 / 31.0
Assists 18.9 / 19.3 20.0 / 16.0
Blocks 6.2 / 4.6 9.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 53.6 / 50.1 56.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 81.4 / 80.7 70.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 35.4 / 37.8 42.0 / 27.0
Steals 4.0 / 6.4 2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 13.4 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SLU
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
MICH Advantage
37-3-0 (92.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
MICH
19-21-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
SLU
MICH
SLU
ML
78% 31-9
70% 23-10
63% 24-14
68% 21-10
ATS
78% 31-9
73% 24-9
63% 24-14
68% 21-10
TTL
57% 23-17
61% 20-13
100% 38-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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