Home / NHL Projections NHL / Devils @ Capitals NJ @ WSH

NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

35-31-2  |  Road

1
FINAL
Fri, Mar 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

CAPITALSWSH

34-27-8  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Jake Allen
GOALTENDER

Jake Allen

#34 | Goaltender
@
Logan Thompson
GOALTENDER

Logan Thompson

#48 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Allen None-None 1.03 0.963 --
Logan Thompson None-None 1.00 0.968 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.03 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.963 Save % Ldr 0.968
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
📊
CAPITALS
0%
DEVILS --
CAPITALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
DevilsNJ (-3.5) 0 CapitalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Devils Cover

30.9%

Capitals Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

NJ By 1 goal

12.1%

NJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

WSH By 1 goal

19.7%

WSH By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
NEW JERSEY
3
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
4
NEW JERSEY
2
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Capitals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Devils Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Capitals (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Devils (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 WSH @ NJ 3 - 7
Mar 20, 2026 NJ @ WSH 1 - 2
Dec 27, 2025 WSH @ NJ 4 - 3
Nov 15, 2025 NJ @ WSH 3 - 2
Sep 28, 2025 WSH @ NJ 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +81.5% more
Washington: 16.7 vs New Jersey: 9.2
Hits (L5) +40.1% more
Washington: 22.2 vs New Jersey: 15.9
Power Play % (L5) +13.5%
Washington: 13.9% vs New Jersey: 0.4%
Faceoff % (L5) +2.4%
Washington: 50.1% vs New Jersey: 47.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NJ Score 2.0 1
WSH Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
82%MONEY18%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
NJ
WSH
NJ
ML
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
100% 3-0
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
0% 0-2-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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