CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
42-27 | Road
115
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
28-41 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
BULLS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
251.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
15.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
25.3%
CHI By 1-7 points
4.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
133
CLEVELAND
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
105
CLEVELAND
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o237.0
Loss
Proj Total: 251.0
D
Sim
u237.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
CLE @ CHI
115 - 110
Dec 19, 2025
CHI @ CLE
136 - 125
Dec 17, 2025
CLE @ CHI
111 - 127
Nov 8, 2025
CHI @ CLE
122 - 128
Oct 9, 2025
CLE @ CHI
112 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+9.4% more
Cleveland: 4.8
vs
Chicago: 4.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Cleveland: 37.5%
vs
Chicago: 33.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Cleveland: 50.5%
vs
Chicago: 48.0%
Steals (L5)
+66.8% more
Chicago: 8.9
vs
Cleveland: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
133.0
115
CHI Score
118.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 37.5
34.0 / 34.0
Assists
27.1 / 28.5
27.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.8
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 50.5
45.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
79.0 / 72.5
65.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
44.1 / 42.7
47.0 / 54.0
Steals
8.9 / 5.4
11.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
17.0 / 11.2
16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
CLE
CHI
CLE
ML
56%
54-42
60%
69-46
57%
46-35
56%
55-44
ATS
65%
62-33-1
67%
75-37-3
57%
46-35
56%
55-44
TTL
58%
56-40
59%
68-47
100%
81-0
100%
99-0
Contextual Game News
Luka Doncic Opens Up About Heartbreaking Season Away From His Da…
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…