Home / NBA Projections NBA / Clippers @ Pelicans LAC @ NO

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

34-35  |  Road

99
FINAL
Thu, Mar 19 • 8:00 PM ET
Smoothie King Center
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

24-46  |  Home

105
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
📊
PELICANS
0%
CLIPPERS --
PELICANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
247.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (New Orleans)
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 PelicansNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

24.2%

Pelicans Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NO -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

LAC By 1-7 points

15.3%

LAC By 8-14 points

5.8%

NO By 1-7 points

26.2%

NO By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
120
LA
127
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
112
LA
118
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pelicans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pelicans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pelicans (-4) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Pelicans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o230.0 Loss
Proj Total: 247.0
D
Sim u230.0 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 LAC @ NO 99 - 105
Mar 18, 2026 LAC @ NO 109 - 124
Mar 1, 2026 NO @ LAC 117 - 137
Oct 31, 2025 NO @ LAC 124 - 126
Apr 2, 2025 NO @ LAC 98 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +46.7% more
New Orleans: 7.2 vs LA: 4.9
Rebounding (L5) +25.6% more
New Orleans: 46.8 vs LA: 37.3
Turnovers (L5) +18.2% more
New Orleans: 15.5 vs LA: 13.1
Assists (L5) +14.2% more
New Orleans: 27.9 vs LA: 24.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 120.0 99
NO Score 127.0 105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.5 / 33.9 38.0 / 31.0
Assists 27.9 / 24.4 21.0 / 20.0
Blocks 7.2 / 4.9 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.1 / 49.8 47.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 80.1 / 77.4 82.0 / 59.0
Rebounding 46.8 / 37.3 40.0 / 39.0
Steals 9.4 / 11.0 11.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 13.1 16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
LAC
NO
LAC
ML
62% 98-61
60% 59-40
58% 48-35
55% 45-37
ATS
68% 107-51-1
66% 65-33-1
58% 48-35
55% 45-37
TTL
75% 119-40
59% 58-40-1
100% 83-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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