Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sharks @ Wildcats LIU @ ARIZ

LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY

SHARKSLIU

24-10  |  Road

58
FINAL
Fri, Mar 20 • 1:35 PM ET
Viejas Arena
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA

WILDCATSARIZ

32-2  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
SHARKS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Arizona)
SharksLIU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsARIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

34.5%

Wildcats Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARIZ -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARIZ)

LIU By 1-7 points

20.1%

LIU By 8-14 points

9.3%

ARIZ By 1-7 points

27.4%

ARIZ By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
77
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
81
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
60
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
90
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+30.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 20, 2026 LIU @ ARIZ 58 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +15.4% more
Arizona: 37.4 vs Long Island University: 32.4
Free Throw % (L5) +5.7%
Arizona: 73.6% vs Long Island University: 67.9%
Blocks (L5) +39.3% more
Long Island University: 6.0 vs Arizona: 3.6
Steals (L5) +21.0% more
Long Island University: 7.0 vs Arizona: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIU Score 77.0 58
ARIZ Score 81.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.0 / 40.8 46.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.6 / 13.0 16.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.6 / 6.0 10.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 49.3 / 51.4 53.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 73.6 / 67.9 67.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 32.4 52.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.5 / 7.0 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 9.1 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
ARIZ Advantage
36-3-0 (92.3%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
ARIZ Advantage
23-15-1 (60.5%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARIZ
LIU
ARIZ
LIU
ML
67% 26-13
60% 21-14
68% 23-11
69% 24-11
ATS
74% 29-10
63% 22-13
68% 23-11
69% 24-11
TTL
56% 22-17
60% 21-14
100% 34-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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