AI Model Win Probability
ZIPS
0%
RED RAIDERS
100%
ZIPS
--
RED RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TTU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)
AKR By 1-7 points
26.8%
AKR By 8-14 points
18.6%
TTU By 1-7 points
23.0%
TTU By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Akron
59
AKRON
Texas Tech
57
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
Akron
68
AKRON
Texas Tech
75
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Zips
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Raiders (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Red Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
AKR @ TTU
71 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+31.4% more
Akron: 6.3
vs
Texas Tech: 4.3
Rebounding (L5)
+15.4% more
Akron: 37.9
vs
Texas Tech: 32.1
Blocks (L5)
+12.9% more
Akron: 3.6
vs
Texas Tech: 3.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Akron: 47.7%
vs
Texas Tech: 43.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AKR Score
59.0
71
TTU Score
57.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 36.2
55.0 / 26.0
Assists
13.6 / 14.7
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.6
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 47.7
64.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
68.5 / 54.8
63.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 37.9
32.0 / 25.0
Steals
4.3 / 6.3
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 10.0
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
TTU
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AKR
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
TTU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
AKR
TTU
AKR
ML
62%
21-13
71%
24-10
71%
22-9
65%
22-12
ATS
65%
22-12
76%
26-8
71%
22-9
65%
22-12
TTL
59%
20-14
59%
20-14
100%
31-0
100%
34-0