AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
GATORS
0%
PANTHERS
--
GATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FLA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
PV By 1-7 points
18.6%
PV By 8-14 points
8.0%
FLA By 1-7 points
27.2%
FLA By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Prairie View A&M
78
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Florida
83
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Prairie View A&M
62
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Florida
85
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gators
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gators (+35.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Gators (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
PV @ FLA
55 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+59.1% more
Florida: 15.7
vs
Prairie View A&M: 9.9
Turnovers (L5)
+39.2% more
Florida: 13.1
vs
Prairie View A&M: 9.4
Rebounding (L5)
+25.4% more
Florida: 43.5
vs
Prairie View A&M: 34.7
Blocks (L5)
+29.9% more
Prairie View A&M: 6.7
vs
Florida: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PV Score
78.0
55
FLA Score
83.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 36.9
45.0 / 27.0
Assists
15.7 / 9.9
29.0 / 6.0
Blocks
4.7 / 6.7
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 46.3
64.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 75.3
78.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
43.5 / 34.7
54.0 / 20.0
Steals
6.6 / 7.5
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 9.4
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
FLA
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
FLA
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
PV
FLA
PV
ML
77%
27-8
59%
20-14
63%
22-13
68%
21-10
ATS
69%
24-11
56%
19-15
63%
22-13
68%
21-10
TTL
63%
22-13
50%
17-17
100%
35-0
100%
31-0