QUEENS UNIVERSITY

ROYALSQUC

21-13  |  Road

71
FINAL
Fri, Mar 20 • 7:35 PM ET
Enterprise Center
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PURDUE

BOILERMAKERSPUR

27-8  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
📊
BOILERMAKERS
0%
ROYALS --
BOILERMAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
PURDUE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Purdue)
RoyalsQUC (-3.5) 0 BoilermakersPUR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

15.9%

Boilermakers Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PUR -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PUR)

QUC By 1-7 points

10.7%

QUC By 8-14 points

3.3%

PUR By 1-7 points

23.0%

PUR By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
77
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
87
PURDUE
Simulated Score
62
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
85
PURDUE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Boilermakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Boilermakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Boilermakers (+25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Boilermakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o159.5 Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 20, 2026 QUC @ PUR 71 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +23.5% more
Purdue: 21.0 vs Queens University: 17.0
Blocks (L5) +9.9% more
Purdue: 3.3 vs Queens University: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5) +4.1%
Purdue: 74.4% vs Queens University: 70.3%
Turnovers (L5) +43.1% more
Queens University: 11.7 vs Purdue: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
QUC Score 77.0 71
PUR Score 87.0 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 39.2 58.0 / 28.0
Assists 21.0 / 17.0 24.0 / 20.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.0 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.3 / 47.9 63.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 70.3 67.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 37.5 41.0 / 19.0
Steals 4.6 / 7.6 5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 6.6 / 11.7 12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
PUR Advantage
30-9-0 (76.9%)
Margin: 11.1 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
PUR Advantage
17-22-0 (43.6%)
Margin: 11.1 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3% Total +/-: +5.9
PUR
21-18-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2% Total +/-: +1.4