AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
BOILERMAKERS
0%
ROYALS
--
BOILERMAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
PURDUE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Purdue)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PUR -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PUR)
QUC By 1-7 points
10.7%
QUC By 8-14 points
3.3%
PUR By 1-7 points
23.0%
PUR By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Queens University
77
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Purdue
87
PURDUE
Simulated Score
Queens University
62
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Purdue
85
PURDUE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Boilermakers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Boilermakers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Boilermakers (+25.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Boilermakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o159.5
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
QUC @ PUR
71 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+23.5% more
Purdue: 21.0
vs
Queens University: 17.0
Blocks (L5)
+9.9% more
Purdue: 3.3
vs
Queens University: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.1%
Purdue: 74.4%
vs
Queens University: 70.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+43.1% more
Queens University: 11.7
vs
Purdue: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUC Score
77.0
71
PUR Score
87.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.1 / 39.2
58.0 / 28.0
Assists
21.0 / 17.0
24.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.0
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 47.9
63.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
74.4 / 70.3
67.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 37.5
41.0 / 19.0
Steals
4.6 / 7.6
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
6.6 / 11.7
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
PUR
Advantage
30-9-0
(76.9%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
PUR
Advantage
17-22-0
(43.6%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
PUR
21-18-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PUR
QUC
PUR
QUC
ML
67%
26-13
71%
25-10
66%
25-13
71%
24-10
ATS
64%
25-14
86%
30-5
66%
25-13
71%
24-10
TTL
51%
20-19
47%
16-18-1
100%
38-0
100%
34-0