Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / RedHawks @ Volunteers M-OH @ TENN

MIAMI (OH)

REDHAWKSM-OH

32-1  |  Road

56
FINAL
Fri, Mar 20 • 4:25 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

VOLUNTEERSTENN

22-11  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
📊
VOLUNTEERS
0%
REDHAWKS --
VOLUNTEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Tennessee)
RedHawksM-OH (-3.5) 0 VolunteersTENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

RedHawks Cover

21.2%

Volunteers Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TENN -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)

M-OH By 1-7 points

13.7%

M-OH By 8-14 points

4.8%

TENN By 1-7 points

25.3%

TENN By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
70
MIAMI (OH)
78
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
61
MIAMI (OH)
82
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Volunteers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Volunteers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Volunteers (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Volunteers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 20, 2026 M-OH @ TENN 56 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +75.8% more
Tennessee: 4.1 vs Miami (OH): 2.3
Steals (L5) +27.0% more
Tennessee: 6.6 vs Miami (OH): 5.2
Rebounding (L5) +24.6% more
Tennessee: 41.8 vs Miami (OH): 33.6
Turnovers (L5) +10.3% more
Tennessee: 8.4 vs Miami (OH): 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score 70.0 56
TENN Score 78.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.1 / 37.2 45.0 / 24.0
Assists 14.5 / 16.1 19.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.1 / 2.3 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.5 / 47.7 53.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 66.9 / 68.7 70.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 41.8 / 33.6 42.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.6 / 5.2 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 8.4 / 7.6 16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH Advantage
32-2-0 (94.1%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
TENN
25-12-0 (67.6%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
TENN
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +5.6
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
M-OH
TENN
M-OH
ML
46% 17-20
45% 15-18
64% 21-12
41% 13-19
ATS
54% 20-17
61% 20-13
64% 21-12
41% 13-19
TTL
76% 28-9
61% 20-13
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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