Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pride @ Crimson Tide HOF @ ALA

HOFSTRA

PRIDEHOF

24-10  |  Road

70
FINAL
Fri, Mar 20 • 3:15 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena
View Odds Details →

ALABAMA

CRIMSON TIDEALA

23-9  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
100%
📊
CRIMSON TIDE
0%
PRIDE --
CRIMSON TIDE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Alabama)
PrideHOF (-3.5) 0 Crimson TideALA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pride Cover

46.0%

Crimson Tide Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ALA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ALA)

HOF By 1-7 points

24.3%

HOF By 8-14 points

13.7%

ALA By 1-7 points

26.2%

ALA By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
75
HOFSTRA
76
ALABAMA
Simulated Score
67
HOFSTRA
85
ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Crimson Tide Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Crimson Tide Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Crimson Tide (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Crimson Tide (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 20, 2026 HOF @ ALA 70 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +97.9% more
Alabama: 3.7 vs Hofstra: 1.9
Assists (L5) +35.6% more
Alabama: 13.7 vs Hofstra: 10.1
Steals (L5) +14.6% more
Alabama: 6.1 vs Hofstra: 5.3
Field Goal % (L5) +3.2%
Alabama: 44.8% vs Hofstra: 41.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOF Score 75.0 70
ALA Score 76.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.1 / 32.9 33.0 / 46.0
Assists 13.7 / 10.1 16.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.7 / 1.9 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 41.6 48.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 76.0 / 77.3 74.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 37.2 / 40.9 46.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.1 / 5.3 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 8.1 / 10.1 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
ALA Advantage
25-10-0 (71.4%)
Margin: 8.5 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
ALA
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: 8.5 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +0.2
ALA
17-16-1
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALA
HOF
ALA
HOF
ML
63% 22-13
77% 27-8
58% 19-14
71% 25-10
ATS
60% 21-14
83% 29-6
58% 19-14
71% 25-10
TTL
63% 22-13
51% 18-17
100% 33-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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