Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Kings PHI @ SAC

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

37-32  |  Road

139
FINAL
Thu, Mar 19 • 10:00 PM ET
Golden 1 Center
View Odds Details →

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

18-52  |  Home

118
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
📊
KINGS
0%
76ERS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
249.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Sacramento)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 KingsSAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

46.0%

Kings Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)

PHI By 1-7 points

24.3%

PHI By 8-14 points

13.7%

SAC By 1-7 points

26.2%

SAC By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
124
PHILADELPHIA
125
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
112
PHILADELPHIA
118
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o228.0 Win
Proj Total: 249.0
D
Sim u228.0 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 PHI @ SAC 139 - 118
Jan 29, 2026 SAC @ PHI 111 - 113
Jan 29, 2025 SAC @ PHI 104 - 117
Jan 1, 2025 PHI @ SAC 107 - 113
Mar 25, 2024 PHI @ SAC 96 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +21.3% more
Sacramento: 28.9 vs Philadelphia: 23.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.8%
Sacramento: 35.9% vs Philadelphia: 24.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
Sacramento: 48.6% vs Philadelphia: 44.0%
Blocks (L5) +51.8% more
Philadelphia: 7.4 vs Sacramento: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 124.0 139
SAC Score 125.0 118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.9 / 24.1 38.0 / 47.0
Assists 28.9 / 23.8 26.0 / 32.0
Blocks 3.6 / 7.4 6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 48.6 / 44.0 48.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 72.2 / 83.8 69.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 45.0 / 43.7 41.0 / 49.0
Steals 6.8 / 9.6 3.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 13.9 14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
PHI
SAC
PHI
ML
55% 55-45
63% 69-40
61% 50-32
48% 45-48
ATS
54% 52-45-3
65% 71-38
61% 50-32
48% 45-48
TTL
58% 57-42-1
55% 60-49
100% 82-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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