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DETROIT

PISTONSDET

49-19  |  Road

117
FINAL
Thu, Mar 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

16-52  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
📊
WIZARDS
100%
PISTONS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
255.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Detroit)
PistonsDET (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pistons Cover

95.5%

Wizards Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-7 points

12.2%

DET By 8-14 points

23.0%

WSH By 1-7 points

3.3%

WSH By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
136
DETROIT
119
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
108
DETROIT
112
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pistons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wizards Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pistons (+14) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Wizards (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o232.0 Loss
Proj Total: 255.0
D
Sim u232.0 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 DET @ WSH 117 - 95
Mar 17, 2026 DET @ WSH 130 - 117
Feb 5, 2026 WSH @ DET 126 - 117
Nov 10, 2025 WSH @ DET 135 - 137
Oct 16, 2025 WSH @ DET 98 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +21.7% more
Detroit: 30.0 vs Washington: 23.5
Steals (L5) +18.5% more
Detroit: 8.7 vs Washington: 7.1
Blocks (L5) +17.0% more
Detroit: 5.3 vs Washington: 4.4
Rebounding (L5) +16.7% more
Detroit: 45.2 vs Washington: 37.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 136.0 117
WSH Score 119.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.9 / 38.9 39.0 / 30.0
Assists 23.5 / 30.0 20.0 / 32.0
Blocks 4.4 / 5.3 10.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 50.5 44.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 78.0 / 79.0 67.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 37.7 / 45.2 35.0 / 56.0
Steals 7.1 / 8.7 3.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 16.8 / 14.0 19.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
DET
WSH
DET
ML
70% 112-49
55% 64-53
47% 39-44
49% 47-49
ATS
69% 111-49-1
53% 60-54-3
47% 39-44
49% 47-49
TTL
74% 119-41-1
60% 70-46-1
100% 83-0
100% 96-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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