ORLANDO
MAGICORL
38-30 | Road
111
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
35-34 | Home
130
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
HORNETS
0%
MAGIC
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
ORL By 1-7 points
21.6%
ORL By 8-14 points
10.7%
CHA By 1-7 points
27.2%
CHA By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
119
ORLANDO
Charlotte
122
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Orlando
108
ORLANDO
Charlotte
115
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (+6)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o227.5
Win
Proj Total: 241.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 17, 2026
CHA @ ORL
90 - 121
Mar 19, 2026
ORL @ CHA
111 - 130
Jan 22, 2026
CHA @ ORL
124 - 97
Dec 26, 2025
CHA @ ORL
120 - 105
Oct 30, 2025
ORL @ CHA
123 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+73.9% more
Charlotte: 4.9
vs
Orlando: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+8.9% more
Charlotte: 26.1
vs
Orlando: 24.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
Charlotte: 38.6%
vs
Orlando: 34.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
119.0
111
CHA Score
122.0
130
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 34.5
48.0 / 33.0
Assists
26.1 / 24.0
28.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.9 / 2.8
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 44.5
53.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
82.8 / 82.6
89.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
44.8 / 44.1
41.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.8 / 8.3
9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 12.9
22.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
ORL
CHA
ORL
ML
61%
60-39
61%
65-42
48%
40-44
56%
51-40
ATS
60%
59-40
64%
68-38-1
48%
40-44
56%
51-40
TTL
58%
57-42
57%
61-46
100%
84-0
100%
91-0
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