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MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

37-20-10  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Mar 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

37-23-8  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jakub Dobes
GOALTENDER

Jakub Dobes

#75 | Goaltender
@
John Gibson
GOALTENDER

John Gibson

#36 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jakub Dobes None-None 2.05 0.926 --
John Gibson None-None 1.00 0.970 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.05 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.926 Save % Ldr 0.970
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
0%
📊
RED WINGS
100%
CANADIENS --
RED WINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CanadiensMTL (-3.5) 0 Red WingsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canadiens Cover

30.9%

Red Wings Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

DET By 1 goal

12.1%

DET By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
MONTREAL
3
DETROIT
Simulated Score
2
MONTREAL
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Canadiens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Wings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Red Wings (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 MTL @ DET 1 - 3
Jan 10, 2026 DET @ MTL 4 - 0
Oct 9, 2025 MTL @ DET 5 - 1
Apr 8, 2025 DET @ MTL 1 - 4
Jan 23, 2025 MTL @ DET 2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +34.0% more
Montreal: 19.6 vs Detroit: 13.0
Shots on Goal (L5) +15.4% more
Montreal: 29.7 vs Detroit: 25.1
Faceoff % (L5) +11.9%
Montreal: 52.9% vs Detroit: 41.0%
Power Play % (L5) +22.1%
Detroit: 24.3% vs Montreal: 2.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MTL Score 4.0 1
DET Score 3.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
74%MONEY26%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MTL
DET
MTL
ML
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
ATS
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
100% 3-0
TTL
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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