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UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

35-27-6  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Mar 19 • 10:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

31-23-14  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
@
Adin Hill
GOALTENDER

Adin Hill

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Karel Vejmelka None-None 0.00 1.000 1
Adin Hill None-None 21.95 0.000 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 21.95
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.000
1 Ldr SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
📊
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
MAMMOTH --
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Vegas)
MammothUTA (-3.5) 0 Golden KnightsVGK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mammoth Cover

15.9%

Golden Knights Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)

UTA By 1 goal

6.6%

UTA By 2-3 goals

3.7%

VGK By 1 goal

17.5%

VGK By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
UTAH
3
VEGAS
Simulated Score
2
UTAH
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Golden Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 29, 2026 UTA @ VGK 4 - 5
Apr 24, 2026 VGK @ UTA 2 - 4
Mar 19, 2026 UTA @ VGK 4 - 0
Nov 24, 2025 VGK @ UTA 1 - 5
Nov 20, 2025 VGK @ UTA 4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +175.8% more
Vegas: 14.5 vs Utah: 5.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +22.4% more
Vegas: 26.9 vs Utah: 22.0
Faceoff % (L5) +2.4%
Vegas: 53.3% vs Utah: 51.0%
Takeaways (L5) +43.3% more
Utah: 5.0 vs Vegas: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTA Score 1.0 4
VGK Score 3.0 0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
92%MONEY8%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
UTA
VGK
UTA
ML
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
ATS
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
TTL
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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