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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

33-31-3  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Mar 19 • 9:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

34-26-9  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
@
Jake Walman
GOALTENDER

Jake Walman

#96 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
Jake Walman None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
OILERS
0%
PANTHERS --
OILERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Edmonton)
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 OilersEDM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

6.7%

Oilers Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

FLA By 1 goal

2.8%

FLA By 2-3 goals

1.2%

EDM By 1 goal

12.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
FLORIDA
4
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
3
FLORIDA
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Oilers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 FLA @ EDM 4 - 0
Nov 22, 2025 EDM @ FLA 6 - 3
Jun 17, 2025 EDM @ FLA 1 - 5
Jun 14, 2025 FLA @ EDM 5 - 2
Jun 12, 2025 EDM @ FLA 5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +22.7%
Edmonton: 24.7% vs Florida: 2.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.9% more
Edmonton: 30.5 vs Florida: 25.4
Takeaways (L5) +10.3% more
Edmonton: 4.4 vs Florida: 4.0
Hits (L5) +18.1% more
Florida: 26.2 vs Edmonton: 21.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 1.0 4
EDM Score 4.0 0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
95%MONEY5%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
FLA
EDM
FLA
ML
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
ATS
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
wsvn 3 minutes ago
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 6 minutes ago
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day ago
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
yardbarker 1 day, 6 hours ago
Brad Marchand Forced Off Ice with Apparent Leg Injury in Panther…
theathleticuk 1 day, 17 hours ago