Home / NHL Projections NHL / Islanders @ Senators NYI @ OTT

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

39-24-5  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, Mar 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
View Odds Details →

OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

34-24-9  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
@
Artem Zub
GOALTENDER

Artem Zub

#2 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ilya Sorokin None-None 3.01 0.889 --
Artem Zub None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.01 GAA --
0.889 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
SENATORS
0%
ISLANDERS --
SENATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Ottawa)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 SenatorsOTT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

15.9%

Senators Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)

NYI By 1 goal

6.6%

NYI By 2-3 goals

3.7%

OTT By 1 goal

17.5%

OTT By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
3
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Senators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Senators Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Senators (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Senators (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 11, 2026 OTT @ NYI 3 - 0
Mar 19, 2026 NYI @ OTT 2 - 3
Oct 18, 2025 NYI @ OTT 5 - 4
Jan 14, 2025 OTT @ NYI 2 - 0
Dec 8, 2024 NYI @ OTT 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +59.9%
Ottawa: 63.5% vs New York: 3.6%
Hits (L5) +23.3% more
Ottawa: 22.7 vs New York: 18.4
Shots on Goal (L5) +8.5% more
Ottawa: 24.3 vs New York: 22.4
Takeaways (L5) +17.6% more
New York: 5.4 vs Ottawa: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 1.0 2
OTT Score 3.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
96%MONEY4%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
83%MONEY17%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
NYI
OTT
NYI
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
67% 2-1-1
50% 2-2
100% 3-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Daniel Walcott Retires from Pro Hockey, Joins Syracuse Crunch as…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
si 4 hours, 6 minutes ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 10 hours, 6 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 16 hours, 6 minutes ago
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
nbcsports 1 day, 9 hours ago