TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
19-14 | Road
79
BYU
COUGARSBYU
23-11 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
LONGHORNS
0%
COUGARS
100%
LONGHORNS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BYU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
TEX By 1-7 points
26.8%
TEX By 8-14 points
18.6%
BYU By 1-7 points
23.0%
BYU By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
86
TEXAS
BYU
84
BYU
Simulated Score
Texas
70
TEXAS
BYU
78
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Longhorns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o158.5
Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
TEX @ BYU
79 - 71
Jan 27, 2024
TEX @ BYU
72 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+12.5% more
Texas: 11.3
vs
BYU: 9.9
Blocks (L5)
+12.1% more
Texas: 4.2
vs
BYU: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+8.7% more
Texas: 37.7
vs
BYU: 34.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.1%
Texas: 76.9%
vs
BYU: 74.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
86.0
79
BYU Score
84.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 33.8
18.0 / 36.0
Assists
9.9 / 11.3
6.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.2
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 40.5
43.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
74.8 / 76.9
79.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
34.5 / 37.7
31.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.5 / 4.8
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 11.6
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
BYU
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
TEX
BYU
TEX
ML
60%
21-14
58%
21-15
72%
23-9
56%
19-15
ATS
54%
19-16
56%
20-16
72%
23-9
56%
19-15
TTL
69%
24-11
64%
23-13
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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