MCNEESE
COWBOYSMCN
28-5 | Road
68
VANDERBILT
COMMODORESVAN
26-8 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
COMMODORES
100%
COWBOYS
--
COMMODORES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
VANDERBILT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VAN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
MCN By 1-7 points
26.2%
MCN By 8-14 points
16.9%
VAN By 1-7 points
24.3%
VAN By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
McNeese
73
MCNEESE
Vanderbilt
72
VANDERBILT
Simulated Score
McNeese
68
MCNEESE
Vanderbilt
75
VANDERBILT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cowboys
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Commodores
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Commodores (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Commodores (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
MCN @ VAN
68 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+40.3% more
McNeese: 4.3
vs
Vanderbilt: 2.6
Steals (L5)
+36.7% more
McNeese: 11.2
vs
Vanderbilt: 7.1
Turnovers (L5)
+20.6% more
McNeese: 10.3
vs
Vanderbilt: 8.2
Rebounding (L5)
+15.3% more
McNeese: 37.1
vs
Vanderbilt: 31.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MCN Score
73.0
68
VAN Score
72.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 34.3
38.0 / 35.0
Assists
15.3 / 13.5
15.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.6 / 4.3
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 45.2
51.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
90.3 / 74.6
85.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
31.4 / 37.1
37.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.1 / 11.2
3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
8.2 / 10.3
13.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MCN
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
VAN
27-9-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MCN
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
VAN
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
VAN
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
MCN
VAN
MCN
ML
69%
25-11
67%
22-11
56%
18-14
88%
28-4
ATS
78%
28-8
76%
25-8
56%
18-14
88%
28-4
TTL
58%
21-15
42%
14-19
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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