Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Badgers HPU @ WIS

HIGH POINT

PANTHERSHPU

30-4  |  Road

83
FINAL
Thu, Mar 19 • 1:50 PM ET
Moda Center
View Odds Details →

WISCONSIN

BADGERSWIS

24-10  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
BADGERS
100%
PANTHERS --
BADGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (High Point)
PanthersHPU (-3.5) 0 BadgersWIS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

93.3%

Badgers Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HPU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)

HPU By 1-7 points

15.3%

HPU By 8-14 points

25.3%

WIS By 1-7 points

4.8%

WIS By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
84
HIGH POINT
69
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
65
HIGH POINT
78
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Badgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Badgers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u162.5 Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 HPU @ WIS 83 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +23.8% more
High Point: 8.5 vs Wisconsin: 6.5
Rebounding (L5) +17.8% more
High Point: 38.3 vs Wisconsin: 31.4
Turnovers (L5) +14.9% more
High Point: 9.6 vs Wisconsin: 8.2
Blocks (L5) +13.1% more
High Point: 3.8 vs Wisconsin: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HPU Score 84.0 83
WIS Score 69.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.1 / 36.6 39.0 / 38.0
Assists 16.2 / 13.8 17.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.8 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 45.5 48.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 78.8 / 74.0 92.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 31.4 / 38.3 37.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.5 / 8.5 2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 8.2 / 9.6 10.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HPU Advantage
31-5-0 (86.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
WIS
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HPU
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
WIS Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.4
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
HPU
WIS
HPU
ML
60% 21-14
80% 28-7
69% 24-11
80% 28-7
ATS
51% 18-17
71% 25-10
69% 24-11
80% 28-7
TTL
57% 20-15
66% 23-12
100% 35-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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