TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
38-29 | Road
139
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
28-40 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
BULLS
100%
RAPTORS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-7 points
20.1%
TOR By 8-14 points
27.2%
CHI By 1-7 points
8.0%
CHI By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
127
TORONTO
Chicago
115
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Toronto
108
TORONTO
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raptors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raptors (+7)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o237.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Sim
u237.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
TOR @ CHI
139 - 109
Feb 19, 2026
TOR @ CHI
110 - 101
Feb 5, 2026
CHI @ TOR
107 - 123
Apr 1, 2025
TOR @ CHI
118 - 137
Feb 28, 2025
TOR @ CHI
115 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+22.8% more
Toronto: 9.0
vs
Chicago: 6.9
Turnovers (L5)
+30.6% more
Chicago: 16.0
vs
Toronto: 12.2
Blocks (L5)
+28.6% more
Chicago: 5.5
vs
Toronto: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+16.0% more
Chicago: 28.7
vs
Toronto: 24.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
127.0
139
CHI Score
115.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 35.3
29.0 / 42.0
Assists
28.7 / 24.7
24.0 / 33.0
Blocks
5.5 / 4.3
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 48.0
47.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
83.0 / 77.5
71.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
48.1 / 42.8
36.0 / 43.0
Steals
6.9 / 9.0
13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 12.2
19.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
TOR
CHI
TOR
ML
56%
54-42
55%
57-47
57%
46-35
55%
48-39
ATS
65%
62-33-1
61%
62-40-2
57%
46-35
55%
48-39
TTL
58%
56-40
60%
62-42
100%
81-0
100%
87-0
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