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DALLAS

STARSDAL

42-15-10  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, Mar 18 • 9:30 PM ET
Ball Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

44-13-9  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
@
Scott Wedgewood
GOALTENDER

Scott Wedgewood

#41 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Oettinger None-None 0.92 0.971 --
Scott Wedgewood None-None 0.92 0.944 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.92 GAA 0.92
0.971 Ldr Save % 0.944
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
📊
AVALANCHE
100%
STARS --
AVALANCHE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Dallas)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 AvalancheCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

84.1%

Avalanche Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

DAL By 1 goal

17.5%

DAL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

COL By 1 goal

6.6%

COL By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
DALLAS
1
COLORADO
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Avalanche Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Stars (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Avalanche (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 4, 2026 COL @ DAL 2 - 0
Mar 18, 2026 DAL @ COL 2 - 1
Mar 6, 2026 COL @ DAL 5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025 DAL @ COL 5 - 4
Oct 4, 2025 COL @ DAL 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +39.0% more
Dallas: 16.1 vs Colorado: 9.8
Hits (L5) +24.7% more
Dallas: 22.2 vs Colorado: 16.7
Takeaways (L5) +11.1% more
Dallas: 4.2 vs Colorado: 3.7
Faceoff % (L5) +4.1%
Colorado: 53.4% vs Dallas: 49.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 3.0 2
COL Score 1.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
70%MONEY30%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
DAL
COL
DAL
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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