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BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

37-23-7  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Mar 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

36-20-10  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Jakub Dobes
GOALTENDER

Jakub Dobes

#75 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 2.79 0.903 --
Jakub Dobes None-None 1.86 0.929 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.79 GAA Ldr 1.86
0.903 Save % Ldr 0.929
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
CANADIENS
0%
BRUINS --
CANADIENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

30.9%

Canadiens Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)

BOS By 1 goal

12.1%

BOS By 2-3 goals

9.3%

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BOSTON
4
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
2
BOSTON
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Canadiens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canadiens Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canadiens (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Canadiens (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 17, 2026 BOS @ MTL 2 - 3
Jan 24, 2026 MTL @ BOS 3 - 4
Dec 23, 2025 MTL @ BOS 6 - 2
Nov 15, 2025 BOS @ MTL 3 - 2
Apr 3, 2025 BOS @ MTL 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +32.2% more
Montreal: 29.7 vs Boston: 22.5
Takeaways (L5) +12.3% more
Montreal: 5.5 vs Boston: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 3.0 2
MTL Score 4.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
23%MONEY77%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
BOS
MTL
BOS
ML
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
ATS
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
100% 4-0
60% 3-2
TTL
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
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Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
yardbarker 1 day, 4 hours ago
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…
yardbarker 2 days, 10 hours ago
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yardbarker 4 days, 4 hours ago