NAVY
MIDSHIPMENNAVY
26-7 | Road
72
WAKE FOREST
DEMON DEACONSWAKE
17-16 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
MIDSHIPMEN
100%
DEMON DEACONS
0%
MIDSHIPMEN
--
DEMON DEACONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WAKE FOREST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wake Forest)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WAKE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAKE)
NAVY By 1-7 points
24.3%
NAVY By 8-14 points
13.7%
WAKE By 1-7 points
26.2%
WAKE By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Navy
79
NAVY
Wake Forest
80
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
Navy
65
NAVY
Wake Forest
78
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Demon Deacons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Demon Deacons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Demon Deacons (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Demon Deacons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
NAVY @ WAKE
72 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+19.2% more
Wake Forest: 10.4
vs
Navy: 8.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.3%
Wake Forest: 76.9%
vs
Navy: 71.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Wake Forest: 38.5%
vs
Navy: 33.9%
Steals (L5)
+48.8% more
Navy: 8.8
vs
Wake Forest: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NAVY Score
79.0
72
WAKE Score
80.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 33.9
27.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.3 / 17.3
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.2
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 48.1
48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 71.6
95.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 34.1
36.0 / 31.0
Steals
4.5 / 8.8
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 8.7
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
WAKE
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
WAKE
16-18-1
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
NAVY
WAKE
NAVY
ML
49%
17-18
79%
26-7
61%
20-13
55%
18-15
ATS
66%
23-12
73%
24-9
61%
20-13
55%
18-15
TTL
60%
21-14
73%
24-9
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
