Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Shockers WYO @ WICH

WYOMING

COWBOYSWYO

18-14  |  Road

70
FINAL
Tue, Mar 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Charles Koch Arena
View Odds Details →

WICHITA STATE

SHOCKERSWICH

22-11  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
📊
SHOCKERS
0%
COWBOYS --
SHOCKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
WICHITA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Wichita State)
CowboysWYO (-3.5) 0 ShockersWICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

3.6%

Shockers Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WICH -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WICH)

WYO By 1-7 points

2.7%

WYO By 8-14 points

0.5%

WICH By 1-7 points

10.7%

WICH By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
62
WYOMING
80
WICHITA STATE
Simulated Score
70
WYOMING
75
WICHITA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Shockers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Shockers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Shockers (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Shockers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 17, 2026 WYO @ WICH 70 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +174.7% more
Wichita State: 4.7 vs Wyoming: 1.7
Steals (L5) +63.2% more
Wichita State: 6.4 vs Wyoming: 3.9
Turnovers (L5) +29.6% more
Wichita State: 11.1 vs Wyoming: 8.6
Rebounding (L5) +17.0% more
Wichita State: 41.6 vs Wyoming: 35.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WYO Score 62.0 70
WICH Score 80.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.0 / 30.2 28.0 / 36.0
Assists 11.0 / 13.4 11.0 / 18.0
Blocks 4.7 / 1.7 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.0 / 46.3 43.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 73.9 / 79.1 57.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 41.6 / 35.5 55.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.4 / 3.9 4.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 8.6 15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
WICH Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
WICH Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WICH
WYO
WICH
WYO
ML
61% 22-14
52% 17-16
68% 23-11
70% 23-10
ATS
64% 23-13
64% 21-12
68% 23-11
70% 23-10
TTL
69% 25-11
64% 21-12
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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