Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Cowboys DAV @ OKST

DAVIDSON

WILDCATSDAV

20-13  |  Road

80
FINAL
Tue, Mar 17 • 8:00 PM ET
Gallagher-Iba Arena
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

19-14  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
WILDCATS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OKLAHOMA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Oklahoma State)
WildcatsDAV (-3.5) 0 CowboysOKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

46.0%

Cowboys Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKST -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKST)

DAV By 1-7 points

24.3%

DAV By 8-14 points

13.7%

OKST By 1-7 points

26.2%

OKST By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
71
DAVIDSON
72
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
70
DAVIDSON
75
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 17, 2026 DAV @ OKST 80 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +29.4%
Oklahoma State: 85.7% vs Davidson: 56.4%
Rebounding (L5) +17.8% more
Oklahoma State: 38.5 vs Davidson: 32.7
Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
Oklahoma State: 45.6% vs Davidson: 41.8%
Blocks (L5) +52.4% more
Davidson: 5.2 vs Oklahoma State: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAV Score 71.0 80
OKST Score 72.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.8 / 28.5 47.0 / 38.0
Assists 13.4 / 13.2 13.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.5 / 5.2 1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 41.8 50.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 85.7 / 56.4 70.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 38.5 / 32.7 39.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.0 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 9.5 8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAV Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
OKST
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAV
13-17-2 (43.3%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
OKST Advantage
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -2.6
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
DAV
OKST
DAV
ML
60% 21-14
64% 21-12
66% 21-11
58% 19-14
ATS
57% 20-15
48% 16-17
66% 21-11
58% 19-14
TTL
57% 20-15
52% 17-16
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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