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SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

32-27-6  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Mar 17 • 9:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

33-26-9  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Alex Nedeljkovic
GOALTENDER

Alex Nedeljkovic

#33 | Goaltender
@
Jake Walman
GOALTENDER

Jake Walman

#96 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Alex Nedeljkovic None-None 5.14 0.865 --
Jake Walman None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.14 GAA --
0.865 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
OILERS
0%
SHARKS --
OILERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Edmonton)
SharksSJ (-3.5) 0 OilersEDM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

15.9%

Oilers Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

SJ By 1 goal

6.6%

SJ By 2-3 goals

3.7%

EDM By 1 goal

17.5%

EDM By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2
SAN JOSE
4
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
1
SAN JOSE
6
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Oilers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -5.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u7.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 EDM @ SJ 5 - 2
Mar 17, 2026 SJ @ EDM 3 - 5
Feb 28, 2026 EDM @ SJ 4 - 5
Jan 29, 2026 SJ @ EDM 3 - 4
Apr 16, 2025 EDM @ SJ 3 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +31.9% more
Edmonton: 30.5 vs San Jose: 23.1
Power Play % (L5) +24.3%
Edmonton: 24.7% vs San Jose: 0.4%
Faceoff % (L5) +16.6%
Edmonton: 57.4% vs San Jose: 40.9%
Blocked Shots (L5) +51.4% more
San Jose: 18.8 vs Edmonton: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJ Score 2.0 3
EDM Score 4.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
87%MONEY13%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
SJ
EDM
SJ
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
ATS
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
yahoo 19 hours, 25 minutes ago
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 1 hour ago
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
yahoo 2 days, 19 hours ago
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
yahoo 2 days, 19 hours ago
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
newsweek 3 days, 6 hours ago