PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
32-36 | Road
114
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
17-50 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
NETS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
POR By 1-7 points
5.8%
POR By 8-14 points
1.4%
BKN By 1-7 points
16.9%
BKN By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
102
PORTLAND
Brooklyn
116
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Portland
110
PORTLAND
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+11)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u221.5
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Sim
u221.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 23, 2026
BKN @ POR
99 - 134
Mar 16, 2026
POR @ BKN
114 - 95
Feb 28, 2025
POR @ BKN
121 - 102
Jan 14, 2025
BKN @ POR
132 - 114
Jan 17, 2024
BKN @ POR
103 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.2%
Brooklyn: 82.4%
vs
Portland: 76.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.5%
Brooklyn: 36.0%
vs
Portland: 34.4%
Blocks (L5)
+38.8% more
Portland: 8.8
vs
Brooklyn: 5.4
Steals (L5)
+19.1% more
Portland: 9.2
vs
Brooklyn: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
102.0
114
BKN Score
116.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 34.4
26.0 / 42.0
Assists
22.7 / 27.2
19.0 / 30.0
Blocks
5.4 / 8.8
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 44.4
38.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
82.4 / 76.1
69.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
39.7 / 47.5
44.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.4 / 9.2
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
18.5 / 19.0
17.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
POR
BKN
POR
ML
53%
50-45
53%
56-49
59%
48-34
55%
49-40
ATS
52%
48-44-3
62%
65-39-1
59%
48-34
55%
49-40
TTL
57%
54-41
56%
58-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
89-0
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