MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
23-43 | Road
107
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
27-40 | Home
132
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
BULLS
0%
GRIZZLIES
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
MEM By 1-7 points
8.0%
MEM By 8-14 points
2.2%
CHI By 1-7 points
20.1%
CHI By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
111
MEMPHIS
Chicago
123
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Memphis
114
MEMPHIS
Chicago
121
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u244.0
Win
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u244.0
Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
CHI @ MEM
124 - 125
Mar 16, 2026
MEM @ CHI
107 - 132
Nov 23, 2024
MEM @ CHI
142 - 131
Oct 28, 2024
CHI @ MEM
126 - 123
Oct 12, 2024
MEM @ CHI
124 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+32.6% more
Chicago: 48.6
vs
Memphis: 36.7
Blocks (L5)
+26.9% more
Chicago: 5.3
vs
Memphis: 4.2
Assists (L5)
+15.1% more
Chicago: 28.1
vs
Memphis: 24.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.7%
Chicago: 81.5%
vs
Memphis: 77.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
111.0
107
CHI Score
123.0
132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 36.5
38.0 / 36.0
Assists
28.1 / 24.4
30.0 / 30.0
Blocks
5.3 / 4.2
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 44.6
52.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
81.5 / 77.9
86.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
48.6 / 36.7
47.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.9 / 9.5
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 15.4
17.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MEM
CHI
MEM
ML
56%
54-42
57%
59-44
57%
46-35
50%
41-41
ATS
65%
62-33-1
63%
65-38
57%
46-35
50%
41-41
TTL
58%
56-40
70%
71-31-1
100%
81-0
100%
82-0
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