SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
49-18 | Road
119
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
34-33 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
SPURS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
239.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
SA By 1-7 points
9.3%
SA By 8-14 points
2.7%
LAC By 1-7 points
21.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
114
SAN ANTONIO
LA
125
LA
Simulated Score
San Antonio
105
SAN ANTONIO
LA
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+8)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o234.0
Push
Proj Total: 239.0
D
Sim
u234.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
SA @ LAC
118 - 99
Mar 16, 2026
SA @ LAC
119 - 115
Mar 6, 2026
LAC @ SA
112 - 116
Apr 8, 2025
SA @ LAC
117 - 122
Jan 29, 2025
LAC @ SA
128 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+82.3% more
LA: 11.6
vs
San Antonio: 6.4
Blocks (L5)
+32.3% more
LA: 7.1
vs
San Antonio: 5.4
Assists (L5)
+20.5% more
San Antonio: 30.7
vs
LA: 24.4
Rebounding (L5)
+20.3% more
San Antonio: 48.2
vs
LA: 38.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
114.0
119
LAC Score
125.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 38.9
38.0 / 28.0
Assists
24.4 / 30.7
25.0 / 25.0
Blocks
7.1 / 5.4
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
49.8 / 48.8
48.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 78.3
75.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
38.4 / 48.2
37.0 / 52.0
Steals
11.6 / 6.4
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 11.8
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
SA
LAC
SA
ML
60%
59-40
60%
111-73
55%
45-37
58%
61-44
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
107-76-1
55%
45-37
58%
61-44
TTL
59%
58-40-1
74%
134-47-3
100%
82-0
100%
105-0
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