PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
39-28 | Road
112
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
44-23 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
CELTICS
100%
SUNS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
PHX By 1-7 points
26.8%
PHX By 8-14 points
18.6%
BOS By 1-7 points
23.0%
BOS By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
115
PHOENIX
Boston
113
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Phoenix
112
PHOENIX
Boston
115
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Suns
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+9)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o216.0
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Sim
u216.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 16, 2026
PHX @ BOS
112 - 120
Feb 24, 2026
BOS @ PHX
97 - 81
Apr 4, 2025
PHX @ BOS
103 - 123
Mar 26, 2025
BOS @ PHX
132 - 102
Mar 14, 2024
PHX @ BOS
112 - 127
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+15.0% more
Phoenix: 4.9
vs
Boston: 4.2
Steals (L5)
+9.8% more
Phoenix: 7.2
vs
Boston: 6.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.1%
Phoenix: 40.9%
vs
Boston: 31.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Phoenix: 48.4%
vs
Boston: 43.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
115.0
112
BOS Score
113.0
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 40.9
43.0 / 32.0
Assists
25.8 / 23.5
31.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.2 / 4.9
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 48.4
49.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
86.4 / 76.5
93.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
48.8 / 38.8
38.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.5 / 7.2
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 12.6
14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
PHX
BOS
PHX
ML
57%
61-46
57%
60-45
53%
47-41
51%
45-43
ATS
59%
61-43-3
58%
59-43-3
53%
47-41
51%
45-43
TTL
56%
60-47
59%
61-42-2
100%
88-0
100%
88-0
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